Wednesday, January 15, 2020

NCAAB: Auburn at Alabama

 
The Auburn Tigers are undefeated on the year at 15-0. Their in-state rival Alabama is just 8-7. Alabama, despite sitting at just 8-7, is surprisingly 12-3 ATS on the year. What this tells me is that Alabama is typically an underdog in those games and not expected to win in many of them. Auburn has dominated this matchup as of late ATS, covering 7 of the last 9 games. Both of these teams average around the same amount of points but where Auburn sets itself apart is on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 66 points per game to Alabama's 78.

This will be the National championship game for Alabama so I don't expect this one to start off easy for Auburn. The crowd will be loud and Alabama will be hyped. With that said, I think the expetations here to stay withing 2 are high enough for BAMA, but to win, coming off of a win in their previous game, makes this ML too tempting to pass up. The better team should shine over 40 minutes of the ball game.

The majority of the bets are on Auburn as it stands right now however, the money is pretty even. Of course, this can change with 5 hours to go. I believe if Auburn is going to lose a game, it's not going to be a game we think they have a chance of losing. Auburn definately won't fall asleep in this rivalry game.

Risking 2.5u on Auburn ML -125

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