Monday, May 3, 2021

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz

This will be my third game in a row betting on a game featuring the San Antonio Spurs. This team is hot ATS right now, to the point where they even covered a +5 line against the Sixers with no DeMar, no Murray, and No Poetl, and that was a home game where they really struggle to cover games. I feel like the books are a little exposed here. With the Spurs being on a back to back, a spot they are 7-5 in, they have to add another 1.5-2 points to this line. Along with that, even though this was a back to back, like I said the Spurs rested a few key members who should be rested to give this a go. Also, at the current line, it's unclear if DeMar will go. Some of the other players have been cleared, but this line might drop to 6.5 or 6 if DeMar is cleared.

 The Jazz had a really HOT period this season, but since then, they've regressed. Since April 1st, they are just a mere 10-7 straight up and just 6-11 ATS. I honestly think some of the injuries have taken their toll on the Jazz. They really lack the playmakers to carry them when shots aren't falling. With no Donovan, and no Conley, it's really up to Clarkson to carry this team offensively, but is he better than DeMar? No. Is he even better than Murray? That's up for debate. 

The Spurs have A LOT more to play for here with the Pelicans developing Rhythm and the Warriors overtaking them in the standings. By the way, the Warriors and Pelicans play today so no matter who wins, it puts pressure on the Spurs. Also, this is a revenge game for SA who lost to Utah in January by 21. On the road, the Spurs are 20-8-1 ATS and 18-12 SU. In the 2nd back to backs following losses, the Spurs are 4-1 straight up and 4-1 ATS. They are 7-1-1 in their last 9 games. Just too much point towards the Spurs not only covering, but possibly winning this game. I'll take my chances here even with the possibility of DeMar being officially ruled out. 

The Play: Spurs +7.5

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