Thursday, April 29, 2021

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are in a tough, yet mostly predictable spot here. Something I started tracking earlier in the season was how this Thunder team which is mostly void of great talent did after wins where they scored more than 110 points. Here are the results(13 games)

103⬇️(TT 109.5) lost by 21 vs CHI
101⬇️(TT 105) *won* by 12 vs NYK
102⬇️(TT 108.5) lost by 10 vs SAS
101⬇️(TT 105.5) lost by 18 vs DEN
102⬇️(TT 103.5) *won* by 5 vs PHX
112⬆️(TT 104.5) lost by 7 vs LAL
104⬇️(TT 110.5) lost by 11 vs POR
94⬇️(TT 102.5) lost by 14 vs MIA
96⬇️(TT 106.5) lost by 30 vs DEN
102⬇️(TT 110.5) lost by 21 vs CHI
112⬇️(TT 112.5) *won* by 9 vs MIN
97⬇️(TT 102.5) lost by 22 vs NYK
107⬆️(TT 106) lost by 9 vs MEM
103⬇️(103.5) lost by 37 vs PHX



Which comes out to an average of about 102.5 ppg. They've only scored over this total of 111.5 twice and they've only gone over the team total twice(12-2) in this situation. Prior to the game in Boston, they had been on a 14 game losing streak and had only won 1 of their last 18 games. During that span, they've only gone over 110 points 3 times, and that includes wins and losses. I'd like to think that the odds are in our favor here. 

The Play: Thunder TEAM TOTAL u111.5

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