San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics

The Spurs are just above .500 on the season sure, but that's because they are god awful at home(13-19). I'm not sure what it is with some of these teams, but they perform much better on the road, than at home. They are 18-11 straight up on the road, and 20-8-1 ATS. They're coming into this matchup off of a straight up loss which resulted in a push ATS depending on what number you got. 

The Celtics at home like most teams, perform their best there as they come into this matchup with a 20-12 SU home record. They are 16-16 straight up following wins and just 13-18 ATS in that situation. To make matters worse for Boston, the Spurs have completely dominated this matchup as if late. They have beaten Boston 8 out of the last 10 times they've faced off and are 7-3 ATS in those games. When I see that kind of domination, I usually attribute it to a coaching matchup rather than a player matchup. The coaches are the same here. I expect the Spurs with a day of rest following a loss, to come into this game and put up a strong enough fight to cover this line (4.5) against these Celtics who have a point differential of -1.25 in home games following games where they've won and covered.

The Play: Spurs: +4.5