I watched the last game between these two and I will tell you this, I don't think I've ever seen a team open up a game as efficiently as the Bucks did. I know at one point, they were 13-14 from the field, and rightfully so, they are the 3rd best first qtr team in the league outscoring teams by an average of 2.7 points per contest. Of course, over the course of the game they cooled off but despite that, the game was never really close. It wasn't a fair fight because not only were the Sixers missing their second best player, but they were on a back to back off of a tightly contested game with the Suns. With that said, guess who's number two in first quarter scoring margin, the 76ers.
I believe they will come out with better intensity today after being annihilated in the previous game like a well-coached team should. The Sixers just lost the 1 seed to the Nets and listening to Embiid talk a week ago, it's important for them to maintain that spot. Speaking of Embiid, he's questionable today. I still like it if he sits. Interesting enough, the line is already shaded to him possibly missing today's game. They were 6.5 dogs on a back to back with him but now 7.5 dogs with a day of rest?
The Bucks have been an up and down team lately. They are 4-6 SU & ATS over their last 10 games. It's not unfathomable to think we see a 1Q correction after being so efficient in the first qtr of their last game, especially against a team that is also known for good starts. Embiid or no Embiid, what goes up, must come down.
The Play: Sixers 1Q +2.5
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